Saturday, November 21, 2009

I hate to be down on a saturday but

I think the only bright spot will be if I get my butt out and ride somebody a bit.

The senate is fixing to start debating the 'health care' bill. Its a monstrous tangle of socialist and facist crap and I fear it will pass anyway. Facist in the sense that big honking corporations will be at an advantage over innovative small companies that might become competitors in future.

The was a leak of data and information from the CRU. check out http://wattsupwiththat.com if you are interested.

CRU = climate research unit at east Anglia university in the UK. The leak is good, some light of day shining on the AGW cult and its egomaniac top proponents but the timing probably distracts U.S. folks from lobbying against the gubmint health care takeover. Plus MSM is ignoring this mostly and talking about the bad ethics of hacking I hope the internet is big enough that a bunch more people now realize what a bunch of commie propogandists many in the media have become. *update some MSM are covering it. WSJ (only paper I would consider subscribing to) Boston Herald, and probably others.

The fake hockey stick temperature plot is pretty well exposed. (modern tree ring proxy data didn't match modern temp records) and instead of realizing that the tree rings are not a good temperature proxy they (mostly Michael Mann) just added the thermometer data to the proxy data. Plus stuff about how they worked the peer review process to screen for people and viewpoints they wanted. A funny thing friday night our web server at work was just hammered. There is some emails from a climate scientist at ncar in the leaked stuff, is the story so big on the internet that folks were checking out everything related to ncar? Our group is not doing climate modeling, its just a newish method to measure atmospheric temps with radio occultation, studying our own atmosphere with techniques used to study Mars and Venus etc.

The ncar person comes off as pretty clean although his words could be interpreted to make him sound like just another propagandist, I suppose I am tending to give him a bit of extra benefit of the doubt. He believes in global warming with CO2 driving --of course I do also, its just that I NOW believe that all the fear mongering is based on half-baked computer models that assume water vapor as additional warming feedback --this is half-baked because cloud physics are NOT understood, no one knows if a slight temp increase from CO2 would result in more water VAPOR acting as additional greenhouse gas OR if that water will condense to clouds -letting less sunlight through and moderating warming. Let me say that again. NO ONE KNOWS -- I happen to know that the U.S. is still funding lots of research trying to crack the answer of when and how cloulds form and yet the AGW crowd is saying that it will all stay water vapor so it WILL magnify the warming.

In engineering one always wants to have huge safety factor etc and its certainly good to run models with the water vapor not cloud assumption to get worst case scenarios BUT to run models only with these assumptions and then to have fudge factors in the models to get some agreement with historical records and to go beyond that and even do some data fudging when the models mess up and don't get todays climate right when started from ie 50 years ago is piss poor science at best and given all the carbon trading scams could almost be considered criminal fraud, and it appears that some agencies were fudging data. They say they were correcting for instrument bias and drift with satellites etc but because they over trusted cpu models showing warming, they looked only for things that might be making instruments measure lower temps IMO.

If there was a right wing media conspiracy as Clinton used to get away with implying the presses would be red hot running stories about the trickery and 'old boys club' for getting papers published. Well don't hold your breath waiting for them, course I'll only know they covered it if I read it on the web since I don't waste my time on tv 'news' or reading the local fishwrapper. Both of them happen to be commie biased and I have not researched and found a traditional media source I trust although I know honest reporters and even whole honest papers are out there.

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